CRAFTY-GB is a spatially-explicit agent-based model of land use change in Great Britain. It is an application of the CRAFTY modelling framework [link to general page] and was developed as a joint project between the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, the University of Edinburgh, and UK Forest Research.
The model operates at 1 km2 resolution and includes agricultural, forestry, urban and conservation land uses at a range of intensities. The model simulates the provision of a range of ecosystem services, and is linked to the global LandSyMM model [website link] to account for global effects including trade of food commodities.
CRAFTY-GB simulates land use change between 2020 and 2080 as the result of climatic and socio-economic impacts derived from the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) global scenarios. These have been tailored to the British context through a combination of computational modelling and stakeholder engagement [link1] [link2].
To view results, please click ‘Model Results’.
CRAFTY is an open-access modelling framework and full details can be found here: (https://landchange.earth/CRAFTY/)
CRAFTY-GB was developed by KIT, University of Edinburgh, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, and UK Forest Research. This work was supported by the Natural Environment Research Council [NE/R016429/1] as part of the UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology’s UK-SCAPE programme delivering National Capability and by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council [EP/R01860X/1] as part of the Data Science of the Natural Environment Project.